An Empirical Study of the Telecommunication and Economic Growth in Nigeria
Keywords:
Economic Growth; Telecommunication; Nigeria, Capital Development and Technology. Jel Code: D24; J23; J24; L96; O33; O47
Abstract
This study examines the impact of telecommunication on economic growth in Nigeria. The study’s model is based on Solow’s augmented growth theory where labor, capital and technology are the sole determinants of economic growth. Thus, economic growth is estimated through classical least squares and fully modified ordinary least squares techniques co integration and error correction model. The finding shows that labor employed, capital stock, real investment in telecommunication and electricity supply are statistically significant to economic growth in the short run equilibrium in Nigeria. Therefore, positive economic growth is attainable when efficient and well-coordinated policies are implemented on labor productivity, price management, investment promotion and constant electricity supply. The study used GDP as a proxy of economic growth. Secondary data from NBS, CBN and NCC which were corroborated with data from ITU, WTO and World Bank Development Indicators were used for the analysis. Based on established theories, existing empirical studies and available data, six independent variables (Telecommunications revenue, telecommunications Investments, Teledensity, Agriculture, Unemployment and Electricity consumption) were regressed on the dependent variable (GDP) using Multiple Regression Analysis. The study includes labor employed, capital stock, real investment in telecommunication and electricity supply to be the repressors and real economic growth to be the regress and using a time series data from 1999 – 2018.
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References
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[37] Pradhan, R. P., Arvin, M. B., Norman, N. R., & Bele, S. K. (2014). Economic growth and the development of telecommunications infrastructure in the G-20 countries: A panel-VAR approach. Telecommunications Policy, 38(7), 634–649. doi:10.1016/j.telpol.2014.03.001
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[39] Ricketts, M. (2002). The economics of business enterprise. UK: Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
[40] Robert, J. and Xavier, S.M. (1991). "Convergence across States and Regions." BPEA, 1:1991, 107-58. 1995. Economic Growth, New York: McGraw-Hill.
[41] Rodini, M., Ward, M. and Woroch, G. (2003). Going mobile: Substitutability between fixed and mobile access. Telecommunications Policy, 27: 457-476
[42] Roeller, L.H. and Leonard, W. (2001). Telecommunications infrastructure and economic development: A simultaneous approach. The American Economic Review, 91 (4):909-23.
[43] Salahuddin, M, Gow, J (2016). The effects of Internet usage, financial development and trade openness on economic growth in South Africa: a time series analysis. Telemat Inform: 33: 1141–1154.
[44] Sajjad Hossine Sharif (2017). Telecommunication and Its Impact over the Economic Development of SAARC Countries. International Research Journal of Interdisciplinary & Multidisciplinary Studies (IRJIMS) ISSN: 2394-7969 (Online), ISSN: 2394-7950 (Print) Volume-III, Issue-I, Page No. 114-124
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[46] Song, S. (2015). Africa Telecoms Infrastructure in 2014. Africa Telecoms in Review, Many Possibilities.
[47] Stankovska, I., Josimovski, S., & Edwards, C. (2016). Digitalchannels diminish SME barriers: The case of the UK. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istra zivanja, 29(1), 217–232. doi:10.1080/1331677X.2016.1164926
[48] Tchamyou, VS (2017). The Role of Knowledge Economy in African Business. J Knowl Econ; 8(4): 1189–1228.
[49] Tiruneh, E. A., Wamboye, E., & Sergi, B. S. (2017). Does productivity in Africa benefit from advanced countries’ R&D? Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 29(7), 804–816.
[50] Vu, K. M. (2017). ICT diffusion and production in ASEAN countries: Patterns, performance, and policy directions. Telecommunications Policy, 41(10), 962–977. doi: 10.1016/j.telpol.2017. 04.005
[51] Vagliasindi, M., Guney, I. and Taubman, C. (2006). Fixed and mobile competition in transition economies. Telecommunications Policy,30: 349-367.
[52] Wamboye, E. F., & Sergi, B. S. (2019). Exploring the nature, motives, and implications of foreign capital in Africa. World Development Perspectives, 14, 100108. 10.1016/j.wdp.2019.02.0191
[53] Wamboye, E., Adekola, A., & Sergi, B. (2016). ICTs and labour productivity growth in sub-Saharan Africa.
International Labour Review, 155 (2), 231– 252. doi: 10.1111/j.1564-913X.2014. 00021.x
[54] Wamboye, E., Tochkov, K., & Sergi, B. S. (2015). Technology adoption and growth in sub-Saharan African countries. Comparative Economic Studies, 57(1), 136 –167. doi:10.1057/ces. 2014.38
[55] Waverman, L., Meloria, M. and Melvyn, F. (2005). The impact of telecoms on economic growth in developing countries. Vodafone Policy paper series, 2: 10-24.
[56] World Development Indicators (WDI). World Bank, 2000–016. https://data.worldbank.org/ (accessed 1 September 2018).
[57] Zhang, F., & Li, D. (2018). Information & management regional ICT access and entrepreneur-ship: Evidence from China? Information & Management, 55 (2), 188 – 198. doi: 10.1016/j.im.2017.05.005 1418
Available from: http://thelawyerschronicle.com/telecommunications-and-thenigerian- economy/. Accessed 17/07/2015.
[2] Akamai, B. E., Ogunleye, A. G. Akamai, C. E. and Isiah, H. A. (2013). The impact Nigeria’s telecommunication services expansion on national economic growth. British Journal of Advance Academic Research, 2 (1): 126–133.
[3] Akinwale Y.O, Sanusi A, Surujlal J (2018). An Empirical Analysis of Information and Communication Technology (Ict) and Economic Growth in Nigeria. International Journal of eBusiness and eGovernment Studies Vol.10, No 1, 2018 ISSN: 2146-0744 (Online)
[4] Amavilah, V, Asongu, SA, Andrés, AR (2017). Effects of globalization on peace and stability: implications for governance and the knowledge economy of African countries. Technol Forecast Soc; 122: 91– 103
[5] Asongu, S, Roux, S (2017). Enhancing ICT for inclusive human development in Sub-Saharan Africa. Technol Forecast Soc; 118: 44–54.
[6] Ayse Coban, Fatih Yigit, Hakan Kalkavan, Cevdet Kizil, Sadi Evren Seker (2016). Macroeconomic facts for Telecom Industry in MINT Countries (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey). Procedia Economics and Finance 39 156 – 164
[7] Balogun, J. (2000). Impact of GSM on Economy and Development, Center for Culture and Technical Interchange between East and West, NCC Strategic Planning, Gwalada Abuja.
[8] Barro, R., Gregory, J., Mankiw, N. and Xavier, S.M. (1995). "Capital Mobility in Neoclassical Models of Growth." American Economic Review, 85(1): 103-15.
[9] Benhabib, J., Mark, M. and Spiegel, K. (1994). "The Role of Human Capital in Economic Development: Evidence from Aggregate Cross-Country Data." Journal of Monetary Economics 34(2): 143-73.
[10] Bhattacharyya, S, Hodler, R (2014). Do natural resource revenues hinder financial development? The role of political institutions. World Dev; 57: 101–113
[11] Costello, GJ, Donnellan, B. (2016). IT-Enabled R&D for Business Value in A Global Framework. J Knowl Econ; 7(3): 783–796,
[12] Dauda, R.O.S. (2019). No simple Answers, no easy rides: The Economist in the Pursuit of Development inaugural lecture series, NCC Annual Digest, Abuja.
[13] Elena Toader, Bogdan Narcis Firtescu, Angela Roman and Sorin Gabriel Anton (2018). Impact of Information and Communication Technology Infrastructure on Economic Growth: An Empirical Assessment for the EU Countries. MDPI Sustainability 10, 1-22
[14] Gold, K.L. (2010). Aggregate analysis of the impact of telecommunications infrastructural development on Nigerian economy. Proceedings of the 1st International Technology, Education and Environment Conference by African Society for Scientific Research (ASSR). Published by Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, 213.
[15] Gruber, H, Hatonen, J, Koutroumpis, P (2014). Broadband Access in The EU: An Assessment of Future Economic Benefits. Telecommun Policy; 18: 1046–1058.
[16] Harald Gruber and Pantelis Koutroumpis (2011). Mobile telecommunications and the impact on economic development. Economic Policy 29(2) 388-426.
[17] Ishida, H (2015). The effect of ICT development on economic growth and energy consumption in Japan. Telemat Inform; 32: 79–88
[18] Irene Bertschek, Wolfgang Briglauer, Kai Hüschelrath, Benedikt Kauf, and Thomas Niebel (2016). The Economic Impacts of Telecommunications Networks and Broadband Internet: A Survey Irene Bertschek″, ZEW Discussion Paper Discussion Paper No. 16-056: http://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew- docs/dp/dp16056.pdf
[19] Lam, P. and Shiu, A. (2010). Economic growth, telecommunications development and productivity growth of the telecommunications sector. Evidence around the world Telecommunications Policy, 34: 185–199.
[20] Lechman, E, & Marszk, A (2015). ICT technologies and financial innovations: the case of exchange traded funds in Brazil, Japan, Mexico, South Korea and the United States. Technol Forecast Soc Change; 99: 355–376.
[21] Lee, K.W.M. (2003). Private partnership in telecommunications export development: The Canada west telecom group. The British Columbia trade and Investment Office, Canada.
[22] Madden, G. Coble-Neal, G. (2004). Economic determinants of global mobile telephony growth. Information Economics and Policy.16:519-534.
[23] Leila Khaouani (2019). The Impact of Fixed and Mobile Telephones on Economic Growth in Algeria during the Period from 1963 to 2015. Advances in Economics and Business 7(3): 124-136.
[24] Lloyd and Fenio (2017). An Investigation into the Impact of Mobile Technologies on Economic Growth and Employment in the Caribbean. Athens Journal of Business & Economics - Volume 3, Issue 3, Pages 263-278 https://doi.org/10.30958/ajbe.3.3.3 doi=10.30958/ajbe.3.3.3
[25] Mamoun & Talib Mohamed Warad (2017). The Impact of Telecom Infrastructure on the Economic Growth: The Case of Oil-producing and Non-Oil Producing Arab Countries. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 7(3), 423-428.
[26] Mohsin Shakeel, Raja Abdul Ghafoor Khan & Haniya Rehman Malik (2012). Telecommunications Role in Economic Growth with Respect to Pakistan. Global Journal of Management and Business Research, USA 12(19) 28-33
[27] Mankiw, N.G.D. (1992). A contribution to the empirics of growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 10:240-737.
[28] Mazango, E. (1998). Telecommunications sector reform: Liberalisation and universal service policy in Zimbabwe (Doctoral dissertation). Available from IMK University, Oslo theses database.
[29] Minges, M. (1999). Mobile cellular communications in the southern African region. Telecommunications Policy. 23:585-593.
[30] Mohammed, M., & Sulong, Z. (2017). The linear and non-linear impacts of ICT on economic growth, of disaggregate income groups within SSA region. Telecommunications Policy, 41(7-8), 555– 572. doi: 10.1016/j.telpol.2017.07.007 National Bureau of Statistics “Mobile Subscribers” (Nigerian Telecommunications Sector summary report), 28th April, 2016
[31] Ndukwe, E. (2003). “The Role of Telecommunications in National Development” (9thOmolayole Annual Management Lecture
[32] Niebel, T. (2018). ICT and economic growth – Comparing developing, emerging and developed countries. World Development, 104, 197 – 211. doi: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.11.024
[33] Okada, Y. and Hatta, K. (1999). The interdependent telecommunications demand and efficient price structure. Journal of the Japanese and International Economics, 13:311-335.
[34] Oladipo Olalekan David & Wynand Grobler (2020) Information and communication technology penetration level as an impetus for economic growth and development in Africa, Economic Research-Ekonomska Istra živanja, 33:1, 1394-1418, DOI: 10.1080/1331677X.2020.1745661
[35] Palvia, P., Baqir, N., & Nemati, H. (2018). ICT for socio-economic development: A citizens’ perspective. Information & Management ICT Management, 55(2), 160–176. doi:10.1016/j.im.2017.05.003
[36] Pradhan, R. P., Mallik, G., & Bagchi, T. P. (2018). Information communication technology (ICT) infrastructure and economic growth: A causality evinced by cross-country panel data. IIMB Management Review, 30(1), 91 –103. doi:10.1016/j.iimb.2018.01.001
[37] Pradhan, R. P., Arvin, M. B., Norman, N. R., & Bele, S. K. (2014). Economic growth and the development of telecommunications infrastructure in the G-20 countries: A panel-VAR approach. Telecommunications Policy, 38(7), 634–649. doi:10.1016/j.telpol.2014.03.001
[38] Pradhan, R. P., Arvin, M. B., & Norman, N. R. (2015). Technology in Society The dynamics of information and communications technologies infrastructure, economic growth, and financial development: Evidence from Asian countries. Technology in Society, 42, 135–149. doi:10.1016/j.techsoc.2015.04.002
[39] Ricketts, M. (2002). The economics of business enterprise. UK: Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
[40] Robert, J. and Xavier, S.M. (1991). "Convergence across States and Regions." BPEA, 1:1991, 107-58. 1995. Economic Growth, New York: McGraw-Hill.
[41] Rodini, M., Ward, M. and Woroch, G. (2003). Going mobile: Substitutability between fixed and mobile access. Telecommunications Policy, 27: 457-476
[42] Roeller, L.H. and Leonard, W. (2001). Telecommunications infrastructure and economic development: A simultaneous approach. The American Economic Review, 91 (4):909-23.
[43] Salahuddin, M, Gow, J (2016). The effects of Internet usage, financial development and trade openness on economic growth in South Africa: a time series analysis. Telemat Inform: 33: 1141–1154.
[44] Sajjad Hossine Sharif (2017). Telecommunication and Its Impact over the Economic Development of SAARC Countries. International Research Journal of Interdisciplinary & Multidisciplinary Studies (IRJIMS) ISSN: 2394-7969 (Online), ISSN: 2394-7950 (Print) Volume-III, Issue-I, Page No. 114-124
[45] Snežana Radukić, Zoran Mastilo, Zorana Kostić (2019). Effects of Digital Transformation and Network Externalities in the Telecommunication Markets. Sciendo NS Journal of Global Economics 7(2), 31-42
[46] Song, S. (2015). Africa Telecoms Infrastructure in 2014. Africa Telecoms in Review, Many Possibilities.
[47] Stankovska, I., Josimovski, S., & Edwards, C. (2016). Digitalchannels diminish SME barriers: The case of the UK. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istra zivanja, 29(1), 217–232. doi:10.1080/1331677X.2016.1164926
[48] Tchamyou, VS (2017). The Role of Knowledge Economy in African Business. J Knowl Econ; 8(4): 1189–1228.
[49] Tiruneh, E. A., Wamboye, E., & Sergi, B. S. (2017). Does productivity in Africa benefit from advanced countries’ R&D? Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 29(7), 804–816.
[50] Vu, K. M. (2017). ICT diffusion and production in ASEAN countries: Patterns, performance, and policy directions. Telecommunications Policy, 41(10), 962–977. doi: 10.1016/j.telpol.2017. 04.005
[51] Vagliasindi, M., Guney, I. and Taubman, C. (2006). Fixed and mobile competition in transition economies. Telecommunications Policy,30: 349-367.
[52] Wamboye, E. F., & Sergi, B. S. (2019). Exploring the nature, motives, and implications of foreign capital in Africa. World Development Perspectives, 14, 100108. 10.1016/j.wdp.2019.02.0191
[53] Wamboye, E., Adekola, A., & Sergi, B. (2016). ICTs and labour productivity growth in sub-Saharan Africa.
International Labour Review, 155 (2), 231– 252. doi: 10.1111/j.1564-913X.2014. 00021.x
[54] Wamboye, E., Tochkov, K., & Sergi, B. S. (2015). Technology adoption and growth in sub-Saharan African countries. Comparative Economic Studies, 57(1), 136 –167. doi:10.1057/ces. 2014.38
[55] Waverman, L., Meloria, M. and Melvyn, F. (2005). The impact of telecoms on economic growth in developing countries. Vodafone Policy paper series, 2: 10-24.
[56] World Development Indicators (WDI). World Bank, 2000–016. https://data.worldbank.org/ (accessed 1 September 2018).
[57] Zhang, F., & Li, D. (2018). Information & management regional ICT access and entrepreneur-ship: Evidence from China? Information & Management, 55 (2), 188 – 198. doi: 10.1016/j.im.2017.05.005 1418
Published
2021-04-03
How to Cite
Johnson, A., Olabisi.I, A., & Folake, B.-O. (2021). An Empirical Study of the Telecommunication and Economic Growth in Nigeria. Journal of Progressive Research in Social Sciences, 11(1), 7-21. Retrieved from http://scitecresearch.com/journals/index.php/jprss/article/view/2008
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